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Saturday, February 22, 2020

The 700 Club



Alex Ovechkin scored the 700th goal of his career this afternoon, in a 3-2 loss to the Devils. The Capitals' superstar is the 8th member of the 700 goal club.


When Ovi scored his 699th career goal against Montreal on Thursday I had a feeling he would make history here in Jersey. I really wanted to get tickets, but my daughter's reconciliation was today. We were at church for the first two periods of the game.

I've been an Ovechkin fan since his 52-goal rookie season, and I can remember Beckett Hockey Magazine running an "Ovechkin watch" feature in his draft year.


The "Ovechkin watch" has been on high alert lately, and will continue to heat up as he climbs the NHL's all-time leader board.

Let's dive a little deeper into the career goal total of the seven legends ahead of Ovi:


Wayne Gretzky 
  894 NHL goals 
+ 46 WHA goals
= 940 career goals

The greatest goal scorer in NHL history began his pro career as a 17 year-old in the World Hockey Association. He scored three goals for the Indianapolis Racers and 43 for the Edmonton Oilers. (And that's not counting 10 playoff goals in the WHA and another 122 postseason tallies in the NHL.)


Donruss projected what each player's stats would have been had there not been a lockout in 1994-95. According to this card, Gretzky lost 8 goals to the lockout - which would have netted him a career total of 902!

The "Great One" had a front-row seat for this Ovechkin goal, as head coach of the Coyotes:
 
 


While Wayne Gretzky is universally recognized as the game's all-time greatest goal scorer, the pro hockey record is held by his idol:

Gordie Howe
 801 NHL goals
+ 174 WHA goals 
= 975 career goals

"Mr. Hockey" was not active during any labor disputes. However the third-leading scorer in NHL history played during three lockouts:

 Jaromir Jagr
 766 NHL goals
+ 66 KHL goals
= 832 career goals

Donruss projected Jagr would have scored another 24 goals in a full 1994-95 season. He played overseas in 2004-05, scoring 11 goals for Kladno in the Czech league and 17 for Omsk in Russia. There's no way to tell how many goals Jagr would have had in the NHL that year. He scored 31 in the year before the lockout and 52 in the season that followed, so let's say he would have scored 40. 

Jaromir was still active during the 2012-13 NHL lockout, scoring 16 goals in a shortened season. At a rate of .333 goals per game, Jagr could have added 11 goals to his career total. With just half of the projected 75 'lost' goals, Jaromir Jagr would have passed Gordie Howe for second on the NHL's all-time list.

Brett Hull

741 NHL goals

The "Golden Brett" did not play in any pro leagues other than the NHL. His Donruss card projected a 51-goal season in 1994-95, meaning the lockout cost Hull 22 goals that year. He was still active in 2004-05, though it's difficult to determine how many goals he would have scored as a 40 year-old. In five post-lockout games Hull did not register a goal and retired early in the 2005-06 season. It's safe to say Hull would not have been shut out in '04-05.


Marcel Dionne
 731 NHL goals

Marcel Dionne did not play in another pro league and was not active during any work stoppage.


Phil Esposito 
717 NHL goals  

Phil Esposito did not play in another pro league and was not active during any work stoppage.

 

Mike Gartner 
 708 NHL goals
+ 27 WHA goals
= 735 career goals

Mike Gartner potted 27 goals for the WHA's Cincinnati Stingers in 1978-79. He was still active in 1994-95 and lost 9 goals to the lockout, according to the back of his 1995-96 Donruss card.


One other player scored well over 700 professional goals. In fact he scored more goals in North American pro hockey than everyone except Gretzky and Howe:

Bobby Hull
 610 NHL goals 
+ 303 WHA goals
= 913 career goals

Only two-thirds of Bobby Hull's goals were scored in NHL nets. However the "Golden Jet" deserves a mention here.


Six more players likely would have joined the 700 goal club without work stoppages interrupting at least one season of their careers:

Mark Messier (694 NHL goals + 1 WHA goal) 
Steve Yzerman (692 NHL goals)
Mario Lemieux (690 NHL goals)
Teemu Selanne (684 NHL goals)
Luc Robitaille (668 NHL goals)
Brendan Shanahan (656 NHL goals)

 


As a matter of fact, Alex Ovechkin could have scored his 700th goal more than a year ago. It's likely that the "Great Eight" would have made his NHL debut as a 19 year-old in the 'lost' season of 2004-05. Maybe he wouldn't have scored 52 that year, but the fewest goals Alex has ever scored in a season is 32...


...which was his (league-leading) total in the lockout-shortened 2012-13 season. His .667 goals/game that year projects to 54.6 over a full 82-game season, meaning he missed out on another 20-25 tallies. Ovechkin could easily have scored 750 NHL goals by now!


There are no more 700-goal scorers on the horizon. The next active leader is 40 year-old Patrick Marleau with 561. Behind him is Sidney Crosby with 458. When Crosby (and Ovechkin) were still amateurs, Wayne Gretzky was asked if he thought anyone could break his records:


Crosby is an all-time great and could clear 600 goals if he remains healthy and productive. But the goals record is well within Ovechkin's sights - and the Great One is okay with that.





Thanks for reading!




 

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8 comments:

  1. Wow! I learned quite a bit in this post. My interest in hockey is growing. I now know about the 700 Club and its membership. Thanks Chris!

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    1. Anytime Julie! I'm happy to hear you're (more) interested in hockey :)

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  2. Awesome post! Great research. I heard about #700, but didn't realize that it put him into super duper elite company and within shot of Gretzky's record.

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    1. Thanks Fuji! It's fitting that the Great Eight is the eighth member of the club.

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  3. I hadn't thought about which players might have hit the 700-goal mark without lockouts and labor disputes. That's a pretty impressive list. I didn't realize a few of those players were so close to 700.

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    1. I mock Messier a bit because it took him 25 years to do what Ovi did in 15, but he was so close to 700. Even Shanahan had a good chance at it; he scored 40 in '05-06.

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  4. This is a great post Chris! I have to know, did you do all this research yesterday, or have it ready to go for whenever he got it, and just entered the part about the Devils game in later? Not that it really matters, but I'm curious.

    I imagine Mario would have gotten more without the breaks for cancer treatment as well.

    I didn't see Ovi's 700th. I was on my way back home from the card show in New Windsor, NY.

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    1. Thanks Billy! I never publish two posts in one day, but I wanted to get this out right away. Yes, most of the research on the 700 goal club was done earlier in the week in anticipation of Ovechkin's 700th goal.

      Lemieux missed so much time due to illness and injury, yet even if there was just one less lockout in his career he'd have had 700 goals.

      I hope you'll show us what you found at the card show :)

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